Macro only. Every week.

Why macro only

We focus on the few series that drive everything else: sovereign yields and spreads, the dollar and yen, gold and the miners, oil, and broad equity ratios. The same approach works on individual stocks, but we don't publish stock analysis.

Fib Channels

A Fibonacci channel is a set of parallel trend lines spaced at Fibonacci ratios (0.236, 0.382, 0.5, 0.618, 1, 1.618, and so on), anchored to a significant swing. Extension levels beyond 1.0 help identify where a strong trend may run out of room. We publish the same core charts each week so you can follow how price moves through its structure over time.

The Macro Twin

The Macro Twin is our proprietary model of the world economy, built on Cognitive Fab's Polytrion digital twin platform. We use it to test the reasoning behind popular market calls, not to publish price targets of our own. The model is still being developed and calibrated, and its methodology will change.

Pricing

Everything on the site is free during the beta.

Disclaimer

Not advice. All content on FibChannels, including charts, reports, studies, trackers, newsletters and any other material, is for informational and educational purposes only. It is not investment, financial, legal, accounting or tax advice, it is not an offer or solicitation, and it is not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security, currency, commodity or other asset. FibChannels is not a registered investment adviser, broker-dealer or financial planner, and no adviser-client relationship is created by your use of the site. Nothing here takes into account your objectives, circumstances or risk tolerance.

Risk. Investing involves risk, including the loss of all capital invested. Markets can move sharply and unpredictably. Past price behavior, including how price has reacted to a chart level, does not guarantee future results.

Charts. Fib channel charts are a method of drawing and reading price levels. They are our interpretation at the time of publication and are not predictions. They may be wrong and are not updated after publication.

The Macro Twin. The Macro Twin is an experimental simulation of the world economy. Its output is a set of scenario results, not a forecast of what will happen. The results depend on assumptions we choose, including the odds we give to shocks, on settings that are only partly measured from data, and on a model with known faults, which we state on the pages. The model may omit channels that matter, and it may be wrong. Backtests and checks against published stress tests show only how the model behaves, not how it will perform.

Third-party analysts. We score the public statements of named analysts and commentators against our model. The score is our own reading of what they said, which may be incomplete or mistaken, and a verdict such as "agree" or "disagree" describes only how far our model can reproduce a claim, not whether the analyst is right or wrong in the real world. Their views are their own. They have not reviewed, approved or endorsed our reports, and no affiliation with them should be inferred. Names and quotations are used for commentary and evaluation.

Data and sources. We draw on public sources, company filings, press reports and market data, and we do not guarantee that any of it is accurate, complete or current. Some figures are estimates, reported run-rates or readings from charts. Where the AI Revenue Tracker or any other page shows an estimate, treat it as one. Links to third-party sites are provided for convenience, and we are not responsible for their content.

No reliance, no liability. You use the site at your own risk. To the fullest extent permitted by law, FibChannels and its authors disclaim all liability for any loss or damage arising from the use of, or reliance on, the content. Do your own research and consult a licensed professional before making investment decisions.